Thursday, February 21, 2008

Reed to buy ChoicePoint, sell info division

(Reuters) - Reed Elsevier announced the acquisition of U.S. risk-management business ChoicePoint Inc for $4.1 billion including debt alongside its results, as well as a renewed cost-savings drive and the planned sale of an advertising-dependent information business.

Shares in Anglo-Dutch publisher Reed, which have outperformed the DJ Stoxx European media sector by 5 percent over the past year, jumped 6 percent to 619 pence on the news on Thursday.

The $4.1 billion for ChoicePoint comprises $3.5 billion in cash for the equity, at $50 per share, and 600 million pounds in debt. CheckPoint shares closed at $33.66 on Wednesday.

Reed said that combining ChoicePoint with its LexisNexis risk-information and its Analytics group would create a risk-management business with $1.5 billion in revenue and a leading position in a fast-growing market.

The London-based company said buying ChoicePoint had the unanimous backing of the U.S. company's board and now required shareholder and regulatory approval. ChoicePoint is based in Alpharetta, Ga. and employs around 5,500 people.

Reed also announced that it would divest its Reed Business Information (RBI) arm to reduce its exposure to cyclical advertising markets. The Reed exhibitions business will be kept.

Advertising accounts for around 60 percent of revenues at RBI, which itself generates around 20 percent of Reed's 4.6 billion pound group revenues.
 

Auction Debt Succumbs to Bid-Rig Taint as Citi Flees

(Bloomberg) -- The collapse of the auction-rate bond market, where state and local governments go to raise cash, demonstrates that regulators are no match for Wall Street.

Hundreds of auctions have failed this month, sending borrowing costs as high as 20 percent because dealers from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Citigroup Inc., UBS AG and Merrill Lynch & Co. stopped using their own capital to support the sales. Regulators, who allowed the manipulation of bids and lack of information to persist even after two probes in the past 15 years, are now watching a $342 billion market evaporate at the expense of taxpayers.

Inadequate disclosure ``may have masked the impact of broker-dealer bidding on rates and liquidity,'' Martha Haines, head of the Securities and Exchange Commission's municipal office, said in an interview. ``The large numbers of recent auction failures, which are reported to have occurred due to a reduction in bidding by broker-dealers, appears to indicate those concerns were well founded.''

Citizens Property Insurance of Tallahassee, Florida, a state-run insurer that protects homeowners against hurricane losses, is a casualty. The rate Citizens pays on a portion of the $4.75 billion in securities it has sold jumped to 15 percent from 5 percent at an auction run by UBS that failed on Feb. 13.

No `Backstop'

``The banks were the backstop,'' said Sharon Binnun, the chief financial officer of Citizens. ``If you had more sell orders than buy orders, they'd pick up the difference and you wouldn't have a failed auction.''

Officials at Goldman, Citigroup, UBS and Merrill declined to comment. All the firms are based in New York, except UBS, which is located in Zurich. UBS told its brokers this month that it won't buy bonds that fail to attract enough bidders, and Merrill said it was reducing its purchases.

Auction-rate securities are long-term bonds whose interest resets every seven, 28 or 35 days at bidding run by a dealer who collects a fee of about 25 basis points. Unlike Treasuries or stocks, there is no daily source of information about auction- rate bonds. Issuers have relied on banks to be buyers of last resort when bidders couldn't be found at their auctions.

Since the first of the securities were sold in 1984 for American Express Co., the market has expanded as investors sought the bonds as a higher-yielding alternative to money funds.

SEC Fines

Along the way, New York-based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. was fined $850,000 in 1995 by the SEC for manipulating auctions conducted for American Express. Almost two years ago, 15 securities firms paid the SEC $13 million to settle claims of bid-rigging in auction-rate bonds. The banks neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing.

While the SEC required dealers to disclose that they may use insider knowledge to place bids, they don't have to say how frequently they bid or how much. Dealers also aren't obligated to disclose rates on auction debt when the securities trade.

The settlement didn't go far enough because it still deprives investors of information they need to make informed bids, said Joseph Fichera, chief executive of Saber Partners LLC, an advisory firm in New York.

``Investors aren't sure they can sell the bonds when they want,'' Fichera said.

Aside from the fines, the market worked smoothly until November, when investors began pulling back from all except the safest of government debt as losses on securities tied to subprime mortgages began infecting other parts of the credit market.

Subprime Contagion

Wall Street firms, reeling from $146 billion in losses on their debt holdings, became unwilling to commit their own capital to support auctions that don't attract enough bidders.

``It's more a liquidity issue, I don't think there's a concern here about these entities being able to repay their debts,'' said Tony Crescenzi, chief bond-market strategist in New York at Miller Tabak & Co., in an interview today with Bloomberg Radio. ``These auction-rate securities are proving to no longer be viable, and we'll see them diminish in scope and size as we go forward.''

A month ago, it was ``unthinkable'' that the banks wouldn't intervene to support auctions, said Steven Brooks, executive director of the North Carolina State Education Assistance Agency. ``I had certainly hoped and believed that that liquidity was there and was an important part of why this marketplace was good for investors and good for issuers.''

From 1984 through 2006, only 13 auctions failed, typically because of changes in the credit of the borrower, according to Moody's Investors Service. There were 31 failures in the second half of 2007, and 32 during a two-week period beginning in January.

`Ugly' Market

``It's ugly,'' said Luis I. Alfaro-Martinez, finance director for the Government Development Bank of Puerto Rico, which saw the rate it pays on $62 million of debt rise to the maximum of 12 percent set out in documents governing the bonds, from 4 percent at a Feb. 12 auction handled by Goldman. ``It's getting uglier.''

The average rate for seven-day municipal auction bonds rose to a record 6.59 percent on Feb. 13 from 4.03 percent the previous week, according to indexes compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.

The higher rates drove California, the biggest borrower in the municipal bond market, to decide to replace $1.25 billion of auction-rate bonds with traditional debt.
 

Philadelphia Fed February Factory Index Falls to -24

(Bloomberg) -- Manufacturing in the Philadelphia region unexpectedly contracted the most since February 2001, the eve of the last recession, as measures of new orders and shipments reflected weakening demand.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's general economic index declined to a minus 24 from minus 20.9 in January, the bank said today. Readings less than zero signal contraction. The Philadelphia Fed's general economic index averaged 5.1 in 2007.

A two-year housing slump, exacerbated by tighter credit conditions, is spilling over to other industries, pushing the economy to the brink of recession. The Fed, after cutting interest rates at the fastest pace since 1990 last month, has said it is ready to move in a ``timely'' manner to avert a downturn.

``The Philadelphia Fed survey is sending clear signals that the U.S. economy is heading for a recession,'' said Lena Komileva, chief economist at Tullett Prebon in London, who forecast a minus 25 reading. ``The speed and magnitude of the recent decline in the series signals a very sharp deterioration.''

Economists had forecast the Philadelphia manufacturing index would rise to minus 10.0, according to the median of 54 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Projections ranged from 0 to minus 25.0.

New Orders

The Philadelphia Fed's measure of new orders rose to minus 10.9 from minus 15.2 the prior month, and a measure of shipments fell to minus 12.2 from minus 2.3 the prior month.

A gauge of unfilled orders dropped to minus 10.9 from minus 6.2, while the index of inventories declined to minus 13 from minus 11.7 the prior month.

The employment index gained to 2.5 from minus 1.5 a month earlier, the Philadelphia Fed said. An index of prices paid dropped to 46.6 from 49.8, while a gauge of prices received weakened to 24.3 from 32.

The report provides one of the month's earliest clues to the state of manufacturing nationwide. Similar data from the New York Fed released last week showed manufacturing contracted in the New York region in February for the first time in almost three years.

The Philadelphia Fed region, which comprises eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey and Delaware, is more vulnerable to the auto slump and less exposed to financial services and trade than the New York region, economists said.

Nationwide Measure

Nationwide, manufacturing grew in January after contracting in December by the most in almost five years, according to a Feb. 1 survey from the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM survey on manufacturing in February is due out March 3.

The index measuring the manufacturing outlook for six months from now fell to minus 16.9 from 5.2, today's report showed.

The Fed's January rate cuts came as rising subprime defaults led to a global tightening of credit standards and declines in equity prices. Investors are betting on a half-point rate reduction, to 2.5 percent, at the March 18 Fed meeting.

The U.S. economy will probably grow at a 0.5 percent pace in the first quarter and a 1 percent rate in the following three months, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists taken the first week of February. Economists surveyed said a recession this year was an even bet.