Monday, February 25, 2008

Getty Images to be sold to Hellman & Friedman

(Reuters) - Getty Images Inc (GYI.N: Quote, Profile, Research) said on Monday it agreed to be bought by Hellman & Friedman affiliates for $34 per share in cash, in a deal it said was worth $2.4 billion, including the assumption of debt.
 

Cheap Palm Oil May Overtake Soy on Rising Asia Demand

(Bloomberg) -- Palm oil, the world's most-used cooking oil, is also the cheapest, a discrepancy that won't last long as demand rises across Asia's biggest countries.

An ingredient in curries, stir-fries and Skittles candy, Malaysian palm oil costs 15 percent less than soybean oil on the Chicago Board of Trade. Tobin Gorey, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia Ltd. in Sydney, said the two may soon be even money, raising the prospect of at least a $1.5 million profit from a $10 million investment.

Rising incomes mean billions of people in Asia's developing economies seek palm oil for fried and processed foods, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Crude oil at $100 a barrel is boosting demand for alternative fuels such as diesel from vegetable oil. As consumption rises, supply in China may drop after the worst snowstorms in five decades damaged rapeseed crops in January, the government reported.

``We may have a case of mass shortage of vegetable oil in China,'' said Rudolphe Roche, a manager at Schroders Plc's $6 billion agricultural commodities fund in London. ``This means they will continue to import from the rest of the world.'' Palm oil, produced in Malaysia and Indonesia, will benefit the most because its proximity to China lowers shipping costs, he said.

Rising prices will increase expenses at Nissin Food Products Co., Japan's biggest instant-noodle maker, and increase profits at Kuala Lumpur-based Sime Darby Bhd., the world's largest publicly traded owner of palm plantations. About 36 percent of the world's cooking oil comes from oil palm, more than any other plant, USDA data show.

The Precedent

``Ninety-three percent of all the palm oil in the world is going to food demand,'' William Doyle, chief executive officer of fertilizer maker Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., said in a Feb. 19 interview. ``It's enormously powerful, and we don't see this backing off.''

The last time palm oil was this cheap, in April 2007, prices rallied for two months because of increasing demand, gaining 38 percent to 2,855 ringgit ($889) a metric ton on the Malaysia Derivatives Exchange to reach parity with Chicago prices. Contracts for May delivery ended at 3,698 ringgit a ton (52 U.S. cents a pound) on Feb. 22 in Malaysia. May soybean oil finished at 63.02 cents a pound on the CBOT.

Palm oil and soybean oil reached records today. Palm oil rose as much as 5.8 percent to 3,914 ringgit a ton and closed 4.5 percent higher at 3,866 ringgit, the biggest gain since Dec. 26, 2006. Soybeans advanced as much as 2.4 percent to 64.52 cents a pound and last traded at 64.29. That narrowed palm oil's discount to 16 percent from 17 percent.

Food Inflation

``There is no reason why the price of soybean oil and palm oil cannot be the same,'' said Edgare Kerwijk, chief financial officer for Biox Group BV in Rotterdam, which has put on hold plans for three biodiesel projects in the Netherlands and the U.K. due to higher prices. ``The discount will narrow'' for palm oil, he said.

U.S. manufacturers will increase consumption of soybean oil for energy by 22 percent to 3.4 million pounds in the year ending November, the USDA forecasts. The total equals 16 percent of U.S. use.

Soaring food prices are fueling inflation. China's consumer- price gains accelerated to 7.1 percent in January, the fastest pace in more than 11 years, the statistics bureau said Feb. 19. U.S. inflation quickened to 4.3 percent in January from 4.1 percent in December, the Labor Department said Feb. 20.

China's January snowstorms and rains, the worst in 50 years, affected as much as 48 million mu (7.9 million acres) of rapeseed crops, almost half the total area planted, the China National Grain and Oils Information Center said Feb. 14.

China, U.S.

China, the biggest annual buyer of cooking oils, raised palm oil imports 18 percent in January to 360,000 metric tons, compared with a year earlier, according to customs figures. India boosted imports 75 percent to 366,353 tons that month, and imports of all cooking oils may gain 15 percent to 5.4 million tons in the year ending Oct. 31, according to a Bloomberg News survey of six traders and analysts.

``With the strong demand coming from the substitution effect this year, the discount should narrow further from here,'' said Ben Santoso, a plantations analyst at the brokerage arm of DBS Group Holdings, Singapore's largest bank. He said palm oil may reach the same level as soy by June.

Even the U.S., the world's largest soybean grower and exporter, is buying more palm oil. Soyoil is hydrogenated in some foods to make them last longer on store shelves, a process resulting in trans-fats that may raise the risk of heart disease, according to the Food and Drug Administration.

``Trans-fats are a big reason for more palm oil imports,'' Anne Frick, a senior oilseed analyst for Prudential Financial Inc. in New York, said in a Feb. 20 e-mail.
 

Ambac Rises on $3 Billion Rescue to Avert Downgrade

 (Bloomberg) -- Ambac Financial Group Inc. rose to the highest in two weeks on investor expectations the bond insurer may be rescued from crippling credit-rating downgrades by getting $3 billion in new capital.

Ambac, the second-biggest bond insurer after MBIA Inc., may announce an agreement this week, according to a person with knowledge of the discussions who declined to be named because the details aren't complete. The New York-based company plans to raise $2.5 billion by selling stock at a discount to existing shareholders and $500 million from issuing debt, the Wall Street Journal reported today, citing people familiar with the matter.

``Maybe we'll see light at the end of the tunnel soon,'' said Geraud Charpin, head of European credit strategy at UBS in London. ``That would be good news for banks.''

Citigroup Inc. and seven other banks are working with Ambac to prevent rating cuts that would throw doubt on the credit quality of the $553 billion of municipal and asset-backed securities it guarantees. Banks stand to lose as much as $70 billion from any downgrades to Ambac, MBIA Inc. and FGIC Corp., Oppenheimer & Co. analysts estimated. Ambac rose as much as 6 percent before the official start of trading in New York.

The stock was 69 cents higher at $11.40 at 7:35 a.m., the highest since Feb. 11. Ambac jumped 16 percent in New York Stock Exchange trading on Feb. 22 after CNBC Television said banks and Ambac were preparing a deal.

Ambac spokeswoman Vandana Sharma didn't return a voicemail and e-mail seeking comment before office hours today.

Bank Talks

Rating companies are demanding bond insurers add more capital or face downgrades because of losses on subprime- mortgage securities they guaranteed. Moody's Investors Service indicated it will decide whether to cut Ambac and Armonk, New York-based MBIA by the end of the month. A downgrade of all the firms would cast doubt on $2.4 trillion of securities they back.

New York Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo last month arranged a meeting with banks to help avoid a downgrade of the bond insurers. Dinallo told a congressional hearing this month that the companies may be forced to separate their municipal insurance business from their asset-backed guarantees.

``Ambac was among the neediest cases, so if they can pull it off, there's hope for the others,'' said Jim Reid, credit strategist at Deutsche Bank AG in London.

CDO Losses

Banks face losses from any rating cuts because they bought bond insurance to hedge the risks of collateralized debt obligations and other asset-backed securities that are now tumbling in value. CDOs package pools of securities then split them into pieces with different ratings.

UBS AG, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, Wachovia Corp., Barclays Plc, Societe Generale SA, BNP Paribas SA and Dresdner Bank AG were also involved in the group discussing a rescue, said the person.

Dresdner, the German banking arm of Allianz SE, will contribute a ``small'' investment of ``two-digit million euros,'' Stefan Jentzsch, head of the Dresdner Kleinwort investment-banking unit, said at a press conference in Frankfurt today.

``We have long been waiting for banks to pay up,'' Philip Gisdakis, a Munich-based credit analyst at UniCredit SpA, Italy's biggest bank, wrote in a note to investors today. A ``solution without their participation would lead to large losses for them.''

Spokespeople for Citigroup, UBS, Wachovia and BNP declined to comment on the rescue plans. Spokespeople for RBS, Barclays and Societe Generale didn't immediately return e-mails or calls seeking comment.

FGIC Split

FGIC, which lost its top rating at Moody's last week, asked to be split into two separate businesses, one that insures municipal bonds and another for asset-backed securities. That would help protect municipal bonds from losses on the asset- backed debt.

Channel Reinsurance Ltd., a reinsurer for MBIA, had its top Aaa credit rating cut by Moody's on Feb. 22 because of a slump in the value of residential mortgage securities.

The rating was cut three levels to Aa3 with a negative outlook, Moody's said in a statement. Channel Re provides more than half the reinsurance bought by MBIA, according to MBIA filings. MBIA said last week all bond insurers must eventually divide their businesses.
 

Visa May Raise as Much as $17 Billion in Initial Sale

(Bloomberg) -- Visa Inc. may raise as much as $17 billion in what would be the biggest U.S. initial public stock offering.

Visa, the world's largest payment-card network, plans to sell 406 million Class A shares for $37 to $42 each, the San Francisco-based company said in a regulatory filing today. Banks have the option of selling an additional 40.6 million shares, pushing the potential size of the deal to $18.8 billion.

The company is trying to replicate the success of its smaller rival, MasterCard Inc., whose shares have surged more than fivefold since a May 2006 IPO. Demand for initial public offerings has waned this year, with 97 companies raising $12 billion, or 43 percent less than in the same period last year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

At the high end of the projected range, Visa's transaction would be the world's second-biggest IPO, after the $22 billion raised by Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd. in 2006.